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nsmog767 | 3 years ago

>The federal government’s action is, in my estimation, the right thing to do for this moment in time. There will, though, be long-term consequences for fundamentally changing the nature of a bank: remember, depositors are a bank’s creditors, who are compensated for lending money to the bank; if there is no risk in lending that money, why should depositors make anything? Banks, meanwhile, are now motivated to pursue even riskier strategies, knowing that depositors will be safe.

I don't believe this is a binary issue, but a lot of the "pro-bailout" rhetoric is essentially "well of course we need to know we'll get our money back if we deposit it in a bank." This is clearly the best ideal. But that's not how it works! And FDIC limits were real but ignored in this case!

discuss

order

jonathan-adly|3 years ago

Could get the best of both worlds with a small, but symbolic haircut. Like 95% back.

Now everyone knows that money in bank is not risk-free, and you limit any systemic fall out.

jen20|3 years ago

> This is clearly the best ideal. But that's not how it works!

The “systemic risk” exceptions that are in the legislation and announcements over the weekend mean this is exactly how it works.

My guess is that this will be continued - perhaps even publicly formalized - or small banks will cease to exist very quickly in favour of those that are too big to fail.

bioemerl|3 years ago

It's essential a thousand times over that money goes to banks instead of mattresses. Letting bank runs erase savings is a really terrible idea that would be a repeat of the 1920s era mistakes.

bilekas|3 years ago

> This is clearly the best ideal. But that's not how it works! And FDIC limits were real but ignored in this case!

The FDIC limit is basically useless at this level. 250k for SVB given their clientele really seems futile.

So I'm not sure even discussing it would serve much value. What I fund more interesting was the UK branch of SVB was actually higher in assets than liabilities and was making profit. It's just so strange to me still how this seems to have happened so quickly and seemingly, made worse by some people just getting worried.

julienfr112|3 years ago

There is something called the risk-free rate. It used to be 0, but not any more.

trompetenaccoun|3 years ago

Limits were not "ignored", the companies simply have no other choice. The problem is systematic and by design. A medium sized startup/business handling only 25 million would need to bank with 100 different banks, obviously that's inconceivable in practice.

And now look at some of the more prominent customers. Pinterest, Shopify, CrowdStrike Holdings, Beyond Meat, Andreessen Horowitz, Founder's Fund, Circle. The latter is of particular interest because they are confirmed to have had around 3.3 billion dollars with SVB (of the $40 billion they manage in total). So some quick math, they should have used 160000 different banks to be safe, no problem. Apart from the fact that there are less than 5000 FDIC insured banks in all of the US.

ericpauley|3 years ago

There is a straightforward hierarchy of cash management techniques that safely handles large sums of money. If Boglehead retirees can figure it out then why can't startups?

Deposit sweep cash management accounts offer FDIC sweeps up to ~3M (note that this is not just abusing some technicality, it reduces systemic risk by diversifying investments. The whole point of the FDIC is to prevent bank runs in the first place). Money markets provide short-term exposure to treasuries beyond that. In the 25M range, companies should absolutely be expected to manage purchases of treasuries. Again, if Bogleheads can figure it out for individual retirement savings then why can't businesses?

jameshart|3 years ago

So isn’t this one of those cases where the market is supposed to respond?

If FDIC genuinely topped out at 250k, and there exist customers who have more than 250k they wish to deposit, the market should be able to respond by providing private insurance for cash balances over 250k.

Your premium would presumably depend on the balance and the risk profile of the institution where you’re keeping the balance. Insurance providers would want to audit institutions at which their customers are holding those balances to make sure they have a risk profile consummate with the insurance premiums they’re collecting.

You, know, like insurance companies do.

Should lead to private banking accreditations that have the same imprimatur value as ‘FDIC insured’, but privately funded, right?

Now people might say ‘too big to fail policies are why that kind of product doesn’t exist’; but it’s not like products like that were in widespread use before 2008… has the banking industry just always assumed that federal insurance is effectively unlimited?

throwaway2847|3 years ago

The article describes exactly what the safe choice is: short term treasuries. The option that SIVB ignored in order to yield chase.

em500|3 years ago

Of course they have a choice: money market funds and T-Bills. If you're handling millions in cash, you're supposed to know about these.

cultureswitch|3 years ago

The answer seems pretty simple. Don't invest much more than you're ready to lose. I'm sure that even in the US there's a way for a business to open an arbitrarily large risk-free zero interest i.e. no investment bank account.

soumyadeb|3 years ago

There are better monetary instruments (like short term Treasury Bonds) to keep money at scale. Most startups don't have a team (CFOs etc) but I am sure the larger ones don't keep cash like that.

chernevik|3 years ago

There are many ways a business can practically manage cash to avoid bank risk.

This has been pointed out so in the past 48 hours that I am beginning to think people are just willfully ignoring it.

youngtaff|3 years ago

Companies could insure funds over the $250,000 limit

9034725985|3 years ago

What would it take to formally increase this limit to USD 250 million for everyone?

hackernewds|3 years ago

> depositors are a bank's creditors, who are compensated for lending money to the bank;

this is simply not true. if anything the bank charges me money to hold my funds.

zamnos|3 years ago

You should currently be getting at least 3.3% APY from your savings account. If you're not, it would be in your financial interest to move it to an account (possibly even at the same bank) where you do.

sebzim4500|3 years ago

>But that's not how it works!

I would imagine the people advocating for a 'bailout' (using the most generous possible definition here) want this to become how it works.

Like how in Germany the government guarantees every German bank balance.

I have enough problems, I don't want to have to worry that my bank balance will disappear unless I spread it around in order to abuse a technicality.

ericpauley|3 years ago

Spreading deposits around is not abusing a technicality. The limit incentivizes diversifying deposits because it reduces the risk of a single bank. Retail banks benefit immensely from the fact that much of their deposit base is smaller accounts that are less correlated. A bank handling only large deposits from a small number of highly correlated depositors is exactly what FDIC caps ought to prevent.

colinjoy|3 years ago

> Like how in Germany the government guarantees every German bank balance

… up to the amount of 100k per customer, so less than the FDIC guarantee.

There are additional, voluntary, insurances given by groups of banks. These are also limited and customers are not legally guaranteed a payout.

luckylion|3 years ago

> Like how in Germany the government guarantees every German bank balance.

Up to 100.000€, they don't guarantee it without limit, and they don't guarantee it for anything that isn't insured.

Greensill's insolvency recently got lots of media attention since local governments deposited large sums and were not (fully) covered by the normal mechanisms that protect private and business customers.

Semaphor|3 years ago

> Like how in Germany the government guarantees every German bank balance.

It does? I didn’t know about that, and looking it up brings me to 100k per person guaranteed. Do you have a source for unlimited?

reaperducer|3 years ago

I don't want to have to worry that my bank balance will disappear unless I spread it around

If you have enough money to worry about having to spread it around, you have enough money to buy additional insurance for it, and/or enough money to hire someone to take care of those things for you.

"Oh, no! I have $250,000 in savings and now I might have to open another bank account to hold even more money! Woe is me!"

Can you even hear yourself?