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loonster | 3 years ago
No one should be made whole. Looks like the stock holders will have a 0 and bond holders will take a significant cut. Depositors will be safe.
The executives should all be in prison for this. Only have to do this once. The other banks would wisen up and get their act together.
hnfong|3 years ago
You're wrong about this part at least. Borrowing short and lending long is what banks do (among other things). The alternative is either:
- banks asking for 10+ year time deposits to match your 10+ year mortgages , or
- banks only willing to do mortgages that are < 1 year
The risks can be managed somewhat, and SVB *definitely* were too greedy (and stupid), but you're mistaken if you think the other banks are qualitatively different than SVB in their exposures to interest rate risks...
That's why most bank's stocks are down. Most people don't think they will fail, but recent events do highlight that they have a bunch of long term securities that lost value.
tarsinge|3 years ago
pjc50|3 years ago
There's about $2trn in banknotes https://www.uscurrency.gov/life-cycle/data/circulation and from my earlier reading of the FDIC statements there's about $24trn in total US bank deposits. So if you want to have everybody keeping their own individually serialled banknotes that's a non-starter.
You can keep it at the central bank, whether that's "postal banking" or "the deposit window" or "a CBDC", but that seems to be politically unpopular for incomprehensible reasons.
makomk|3 years ago
noir_lord|3 years ago
The problem is inflation and the lack of interest rates means that just holding cash is a losing proposition (inflation will eat away at it).
With inflation running at 9%ish percent if you hold 20K for 10 years at 9% inflation, it's real worth at the end will be ~8.5K.
Ekaros|3 years ago
With current levels of normal account fees, likely less so. There is lot of staff and operational expenses even if these were set at minimum.
TheAlchemist|3 years ago
Shouldn't they were in prison (the CFOs, for wealthy individuals - it's just their money) too ? They were fully aware of the 250k$ limit of FDIC insurance.
sensanaty|3 years ago