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kenneth | 2 years ago

This is the fault of of one person: Jerome Powell. That man has done more damage to the US and the world than any of the biggest calamities that come to mind (9/11, Katrina, Trump/Biden/Fauci depending on your politics).

The last 3 years of monetary policy have been the biggest destructive f-up ever imaginable. Printing endless money causing the collapse of the value of the dollar, causing serious inflation, to an insane raise in rates to try to undo the damage which (1) not only destroys the entire banking sector and tech industry, and (2) did absolutely nothing to fix the destruction of the USD.

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snordgren|2 years ago

Americans worry about the dollar going to zero, meanwhile it was recently at a 20-year high against the euro, the pound, and the yen.

Inflation has dipped to 5% and unemployment is lower than in decades.

For all its faults, American monetary policy has been better than that of most other developed countries. The ECB went 11 years without raising interest rates.

TexanFeller|2 years ago

The current condition is not what we're worried about, it's ongoing stability which is an open question which I'm not optimistic about.

TexanFeller|2 years ago

> This is the fault of of one person: Jerome Powell.

The Fed chair is nominated by the president. The last president used his bully pulpit repeatedly to strongly criticize Powell for not lowering rates to zero like other countries. I suspect there was other behind the scenes influence taking place too. The current president and Congress basically doubled down on inflationary activity, helicoptering even more money to individuals and corporations. Powell was probably not operating independently as the Fed is supposed to.

HPsquared|2 years ago

Raising the rates does help control inflation, e.g. Volcker. It's still negative real rates though (that is, interest rate minus inflation). Only just starting to become positive. The rates needed to follow inflation or you'd have a runaway unstable situation of inflation causing real rates to become more and more negative, feeding back into more inflation.

vxNsr|2 years ago

The best part is we’re gonna hear his praise from a certain political party and their media cronies (aka NPR specifically planet money, CNN, MSNBC, NYT) for the next 3 months. They’re gonna explain how this is all good and he’s doing a fantastic job. As if a bunch of banks failing under your watch is what’s supposed to happen.