[taywrobel]

Let’s look at another technological timeline to see what progression actually looks like…

Jules Verne wrote “Robur the Conquerer” about heavier-than-air flight in 1886.

The Wright Brothers first flight was in 1903.

The first commercial flight was in 1914.

The first trans-Atlantic flight was in 1919.

And now the interesting one; the Hindenburg disaster was in 1937. 51 years after science fiction theorized about winged flight, 34 years after it was accomplished, 23 years after it was commercialized… people were still using dirigibles, and it wasn’t going great.

And I’m sure the whole time those people were saying “we’ve been promised that flight is just around the corner forever”.

So to me the interesting question is where on this general timeline are we at with AI? It’s been theorized, been proven experimentally, is now commercialized. Up next is the “transatlantic” stage where its actual value becomes apparent and it becomes more widely available. We may already be there with GPTs.

I’m just hoping we figure out where we are before we hit the Hindenburg point.