[thatguyknows]

Sam Altman said it himself. He seems like a reasonable source.

If you're familiar with other fields of AI, adding more and more layers to ResNet was the hotness for awhile, but the trick stopped working after awhile.

[steveBK123]

Exactly, and OpenAI has been around nearly 8 years, consumed huge amount of data with tons of compute. They are just showing us the product now.

It is possible they've reached some 80/20 point and he is pretty honest about how much more extendable the current approach really is.

Would explain going to congress and asking for regulation (of their not-quite-there-yet competitors who they want a regulatory moat against).

[famouswaffles]

https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=36017977

[famouswaffles]

Altman didn't really say that. Reading what he actually said rather than a headline, He was alluding to economical walls. He didn't say anything about diminishing returns on scaling. And if anything, the chief scientist, Ilya thinks there's a lot left to squeeze.

[gmerc]

Sure Sam Altman, the lying CEO of a tech company (they all do) should be listened to on this matter but not on the part where he thinks AGI within reach using his approach. Selective hearing.