[lucaspfeifer]

If you have a good enough model, you can identify anything.

To discuss super-intelligence, we should first define it. Wikipedia says that it is intelligence surpassing the brightest of human minds. Taken as a whole, the internet already has the knowledge of a super-intelligence: it contains more useful information than any individual human. But it is far more limited in its control and use of information.

LLMs rely heavily on inferences from their training data, meaning that they struggle to generalize to new situations. If you had a program that could use abstract reasoning to learn any topic, then it could solve any problem better than a human, given that a supercomputer can process and store more data than a human. This program would be a super-intelligence.

I expect that the development of intelligence (software) superior to humans will happen much faster than the development of superior hardware did, based on the timescales of human evolution (billions of years) compared to the evolution of civilization (thousands of years).