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greenyouse | 2 years ago

Shows some helpful ways to reason about open problems with incomplete information.

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greenyouse|2 years ago

Ah, this missed the mark since the domain is all political/state related. I saw the mental liquidity story from today and it reminded me of an old book they published about how to think. That one has better theory based talk. This article has too many references to conflicts so it's kind of distracting from the interesting stuff.

psychology of intelligence analysis book link: https://www.cia.gov/static/9a5f1162fd0932c29bfed1c030edf4ae/...

previous discussion: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=14852250