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quad_eye_oh | 2 years ago

I haven't looked at where Ben Hu's lab is, but epidemiological distance in urban areas doesn't necessarily follow map distance. In particular, proximity to a shared subway or bus line can be more important than physical proximity, since many commuters will put up with longer travel times if they can tune out, and a packed rush hour subway car is a great place for the spread of airborne infectious diseases. (In US cities one might consider two homes epidemiologically close despite a 10 mile separation if their children take the same school bus.)

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hwillis|2 years ago

The CDC is smack in the center of the city (on the other side of the river). The WIV is way outside the urban area, past a very large industrial park.

The distribution of cases also strongly contradicts you: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9348750/figure/...

Cases were roundly distributed, not along any particular artery. Note that the WIV is not even close to being in frame there- that's how much farther away it is.

mharig|2 years ago

AFAIK, there is a Biolab of a Wuhan University rather near the market. BSL3. Choose your odds.