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I am dying of squamous cell carcinoma, and potential treatments are out of reach

913 points| theoldlove | 2 years ago |jakeseliger.com

462 comments

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[+] sgseliger23|2 years ago|reply
This is my brother. I love you.

Anyone who has suffered through this disease or has a loved one that experienced it knows the feeling of helplessness.

More on Jake’s story below, and a link to the fundraiser to support him and his wife: https://www.gofundme.com/f/help-the-fight-against-cancer-wit...

Be kind and good to your loved ones. Life is short and no one knows how much time we have left. While the FDA’s antiquated bureaucracy does no good, the true enemy is the disease itself. I believe in science and I hope that someday no one else will needlessly suffer as my brother has.

You be good. I love you.

[+] thumbuddy|2 years ago|reply
This is the real reminder for young people. Every single one of us is one tiny cellular mishap away from an untreatable, agonizing demise. Be KIND to one another, because when it is your turn to die, you will have wanted to have had a positive impact on the world and those around you.

Stabbing backs to maybe get a pay raise will mean nothing to you or your family. It's just one more person who won't honor your temporary existence.

Be KIND.

[+] ayewo|2 years ago|reply
The surname is very familiar. I checked and Jake is in fact a long-standing member of this community as jseliger [1].

I’m sorry for the very difficult times your brother is going through. I hope and pray that his situation improves.

1: https://news.ycombinator.com/user?id=jseliger

[+] baseballdork|2 years ago|reply
I was a student of your brother's at the University of Arizona for a semester. It was over a decade ago at this point, but I think it was English 109. It's hard to explain how humbling it felt to chat with him one-on-one. He struck me as a genuine, intelligent, and friendly guy who was worth listening to.

This is such terrible news and I wish Jake and yourself the best.

[+] gerdesj|2 years ago|reply
"We need to have a much stronger “right to try” presumption"

Quite.

I'm now four years older than my mother was when she passed away after two really exciting years. I can't remember the exact description of the killer but "squamous" was involved. Radio, chemo, surgery bordering on butchery etc. Bout one seemed to be in remission and all clear sounded only to be rescinded a few months later, second run was a negative outcome. Faith healer for a laugh "but you never know" - mum wasn't daft but when you are out of reasonable options, you might as well invent a few more!

However, there is still hope whilst breathe still flows and there is absolutely nothing wrong with hoping for a miracle. They do sometimes happen. Keep fighting and kicking and being a pain and only give up when it is obviously hopeless.

Love you too. Take care.

[+] Mizoguchi|2 years ago|reply
Lost my brother to a carcinoma, a disease that most likely will be successfully treated, cured and even prevented in my lifetime. I feel for your brother but also for you.
[+] webmobdev|2 years ago|reply
While I can't comment on this particular case, I sincerely recommend Americans to explore treatment options for treatable diseases in other countries - like India, South Korea, Cuba (?) etc. - that have excellent doctors and decent healthcare infrastructure. They may charge foreigners a bit more than the locals, but you will get better service that is unlikely to bankrupt you.

(Not sure about Cuba's current healthcare infrastructure).

[+] HWR_14|2 years ago|reply
I would hate to ask the author this, as it seems cruel, but is the FDA denying him access? As he points out, Moderna has two drug trials going. The FDA "right to try" page[0] clearly spells out that Moderna could give him unproven medicine currently in a clinical trial under the right to try laws. So Moderna could let him into one of the two studies, or give him the medicine under the right to try laws if it rejects him.

Likely, Moderna doesn't want him to take the drugs because they will probably be ineffective this late in the cancer stage. It doesn't want its treatment to be associated with his death.

[0]https://www.fda.gov/patients/learn-about-expanded-access-and...

[+] haldujai|2 years ago|reply
Actually the Moderna trials are recruiting metastatic and treatment resistant disease. From his description he has not met inclusion/exclusion criteria for the studies due to treatments received and not received rather than being too advanced in stage.

It's highly highly highly unusual to be offering an experimental therapy on compassionate grounds when conventional options that have potential to actually work well haven't been tried yet. In this post he only describes locoregional therapy and it appears he has not tried anything systemic yet.

The closest I've seen is we at least try a very short attempt of something in clinical use and then say patient refused/intolerable side-effects/treatment failure and move on. I can't imagine a circumstance where medical ethics would allow to skip a trial of validated therapy for something without even phase I data. It's not like this mRNA by Moderna is known to actually work.

[+] adamredwoods|2 years ago|reply
I believe the oncologist has to present the case to Moderna for use. If insurance is involved, insurance will deny it.
[+] CogitoCogito|2 years ago|reply
I think the issue is that Moderna just doesn’t have much incentive to do it and it’s more a distraction than anything. But yeah it could also just be too late. My dad was recently in a similar position, but by the time he theoretically could get his hands on the drug, he was too weak too handle them.
[+] technick|2 years ago|reply
I feel somewhat closer to this person because I was once in his position as a child fighting a neuroblastoma in 1981 and some how my mother found a way to get me on an experimental list which saved my life. Half of the kids that took the drug died by the time they were teens due to heart failure, obviously I wasn't one of them, but am thankful for the chance to live a full life.

When the odds are against survival, there shouldn't be any rules limiting treatment, if it means even a slightly higher chance of winning. That's something our government has forgotten about or doesn't care about. If I was in this persons shoes, I would make it as personal as possible against those in control of the FDA. Show up at their houses, work, kids soccer practice, get in their face and let them see what their inaction is doing in person.

[+] A_D_E_P_T|2 years ago|reply
> When the odds are against survival, there shouldn't be any rules limiting treatment, if it means even a slightly higher chance of winning.

I agree with you. But the FDA would ask you to rigorously define "slightly higher chance of winning" -- and prove it. In the event you cannot do this, they believe that letting you try an experimental drug would be more unethical than letting you die of neglect.

So I'd rephrase that statement of yours: "When the odds are against survival, there shouldn't be any rules limiting treatment, regardless of type of treatment or odds of efficacy." ("When the odds are against survival" can be quantified, e.g. a 90% chance of dying within a year.)

[+] tobarpal|2 years ago|reply
Before anyone shows up at FDA decision makers' kids soccer practice please consider things from the point of view of an FDA decision maker. They have to make a choice which they know will lead to both type 1 and type 2 errors. For life saving medicine, when the decision isn't clear, both type 1 and type 2 errors are awful. It's likely they already feel the burden of responsibility.
[+] kortex|2 years ago|reply
Why don't we just have a schedule/tier system?

Category A - approved by the FDA, basically what we have right now

Category B - approved by some other established regulatory body (EU). Comes with all the warnings, doctors can write it off-label, insurance companies may not cover it but doctors can ask for a variance

Category C - approved by some non-OECD body. Insurance companies under no obligation to cover

Category D - experimental, this is stuff maybe still only in animal models, but pharmacies can still order and dispense it

Category E - experimental and basically limited run from pharmaceutical companies. These essentially need to be tailor-made or produced by a GMP kilo lab. There are plenty of drugs in this category - I worked on them - and the intended recipients are entirely animals, QA, and regulatory agencies. But maybe if some crazy S.R. Hadden type (billionaire in Contact) wants to guinea pig themselves, let em.

The latter category also opens the door for custom therapies (gene/mRNA) that you basically can't test the active pharmaceutical ingredient for efficacy on.

[+] banana_feather|2 years ago|reply
There are "right to try" laws both Federally and in 40+ states. It's unfortunate the author doesn't address those, I'm curious how they interact with his case.
[+] jddj|2 years ago|reply
I was an early investor about 20 years ago (nothing to write home about) for a company in this space. Small molecule therapy though, not MRNA.

Very slow going, as is all speculative biotech stuff but it made it to approvals on the vetinary side (dogs and horses) and is sold in the US for those purposes. However, I believe the human trials are somewhere around P2 currently for H&N and other indications are even further back.

Only mentioning it because I still follow the annual reports, and I know that despite having no approvals they've treated a few patients via the various avenues that are available in Australia to people who have exhausted all other options.

The drug is tigilanol tiglate. It's had some success to date, with some immune responses in distal tumors after the initial application.

There is plenty of published research available, so please don't anyone take this comment as any kind of recommendation or advice.

[+] donall|2 years ago|reply
One aspect of the problem here is the difficulty in running a clinical trial, particularly at the recruitment stage. The covid-19 trials all had a surfeit of participants because of a pandemic, but with modern cancer treatment trials the qualification requirements significantly cut down on the eligible population.

This, in itself, isn't a huge obstacle. The problem is the state of healthcare data systems. It's next to impossible to perform high-quality search (even by individuals approved to do so by the IRB). The state of the art in most places is regex searching in SQL.

This is something we have the power to contribute to. Bringing modern search capabilities to important datasets like health (while maintaining HIPAA-conpliance) is a much better use of engineering time than mining spyware data for creepy insights...

[Disclosure: I contributed heavily to one of the major medical search products on the market. We dealt with organisations that expended tens of thousands of dollars and many months per candidate for recruitment. Using some very straightforward IR tech we literally found all their candidates in a few minutes, plus many more. But there is so much more to do!]

[+] nradov|2 years ago|reply
Yes, very true. Beyond just access to clinical data there are often major differences between how the same conditions are recorded between different provider organizations based on EHR data models and local practices. Researchers who want to use data from multiple organizations typically have to put a huge amount of work into their data pipelines for cleansing and normalization. Some standards development organizations such as HL7 (including their various FHIR accelerators) are now writing more detailed and specific implementation guides to improve data quality and consistency so I would encourage technologists to contribute to those projects.
[+] orzig|2 years ago|reply
Read the rest of his blog; it’s wonderful and I’m devastated that someone I followed for years is going to vanish.

Thank you for giving us all some of your time on this earth.

[+] tux3|2 years ago|reply
There seems to be a growing sentiment that FDA delenda est, but if we don't fix the underlying problem that led to this situation, it will just come back.

As the author says, no one ever blames the FDA for the people it failed to save. But approve something without the certainty that it isn't potentially going to kill someone, and there will be hell to your doorstep.

Even if you want the experimental treatment, you cannot get it. Killing someone in an attempt to help is deeply unethical, while merely letting them die is not your fault. This is sometimes also known as the Copenhagen interpretation of Ethics.

[+] prmoustache|2 years ago|reply
The author seems to forget that entering a trial doesn't necessarily give you access to the treatment. You have as many chances to be in the control group receiving a placebo.

And as bad, sad and frustrating as it sounds to someone in a desperate situation, it is for the greater good of many more human beings, protecting us from snake oil.

[+] A_D_E_P_T|2 years ago|reply
There's a very easy regulatory solution: Roll the drug approval process back to the way things were done prior to 1962. Back then, safety testing was all that was required. Efficacy testing -- which is difficult, expensive, arguably unethical in itself, and in some cases effectively impossible -- was not required. Drugs cost ~20-50x less to bring to market, and were brought to market faster. Indeed the 40s and 50s are still known as the pharmaceutical industry's "Golden Age." And it wasn't only because of low-hanging fruit.

Pair this paradigm with extensive postmarketing surveillance and periodic reviews for efficacy in a patient population. These could be done at two years, five years, and eight years -- and approval automatically rescinded if safety issues arise or efficacy is close to null.

Give people with fatal diseases a "right to try" drugs that haven't passed safety testing -- and use that data.

Ban drug advertising in public-facing media.

Simple as.

[+] tgv|2 years ago|reply
I remember Softenon.

> it wasn't only because of low-hanging fruit.

Yeah, right. They had such advanced cancer medication back then.

> Give people with fatal diseases a "right to try" drugs that haven't passed safety testing -- and use that data.

That data is practically worthless.

I'm in favor of having people try out medication, but it will need to be heavily regulated. And we know what happens to regulation: a party comes along that doesn't like regulation, or gets bribed, and the regulation goes out the window. It's a good way to start another opium crisis.

[+] TheRealPomax|2 years ago|reply
The world "simple" is doing so much heavy lifting here, it might as well be written as ______ instead.
[+] throw9away6|2 years ago|reply
I’m fine with that as long as insurance does not pay for any drugs without efficacy testing. Also no advertising of any sort.
[+] rebeccaskinner|2 years ago|reply
I do think that people should have options, especially when there aren't effective treatments, but it's not exactly simple. In most cases, any treatment you pick has the opportunity cost of other treatments, and for life threatening diseases that opportunity cost might be living. Very few, if any, patients are going to be in a position where they can legitimately evaluate the effectiveness of treatments. In most cases, I don't expect health care providers will be in the position to do that either- even most specialists will be treating a wide variety of conditions, and may have relatively little experience with unusual diseases. Even in the best case, this is assuming that drug companies would actually try to make effective drugs rather than looking for other avenues to sell ineffective drugs (or drugs that were only accidentally effective)- I don't that in today's environment that's at all a reasonable assumption. Ultimately, the information asymmetry is vastly weighted in favor of the drug companies, and the cost is lives.
[+] sheeshkebab|2 years ago|reply
Get rid of prescription requirement too - who needs to see a doc for extra $500 when I can go and pick my own med, and possibly better one.
[+] abecedarius|2 years ago|reply
It's far from a full solution, but it'd be progress.
[+] indrora|2 years ago|reply
Ah yes, let’s go back to the days of Thalidomide.

For those that don’t know, the 1962 change is the Kefauver–Harris Amendment, which was a response to one of, if not the, largest overall global crisis of conscience in the medical field. From Wikipedia: “When first released, thalidomide was promoted for anxiety, trouble sleeping, "tension", and morning sickness.” After some time it became increasing obvious that while it worked, it caused birth defects in pregnant or soon to be pregnant women, with its manufacturers actively trying to quash the information about such cases; again, from Wikipedia: “Use of thalidomide in pregnancy can cause fetal abnormalities such as phocomelia (malformation of the limbs). In males who are taking the medication, contraception is essential if a partner could become pregnant.”

Thalidomide disfigurements were disturbing. Children born with these disfigurements were not linked to Thalidomide until much later. Thalidomide was in fact not allowed a safety regulation by the FDA initially. It wasn’t until the company producing it, Grünenthal, pressured the FDA. You see, the FDA reviewer for the medication was leery about it after some reports had floated over her desk about a possible remote risk that this could potentially cause birth defects. Grünenthal’s international licensee to the US refused to explain multiple papers that linked Thalidomide usage in pregnant women to birth defects.

As it turns out, not only had Grünenthal known about the issue they had actively worked to silence the information, a ploy that worked until a major change in leadership in Germany.

It was denied usage in East Germany.

For a longer documentary on the subject and how it changed medical safety testing, Plainly Difficult has a very good video on it: https://youtu.be/Vi03zz6eCik

(Note: I am explicitly ignoring the context that the Thalidomide development program was run by an actual Nazi who was responsible for unethical and frankly awful experience on unwilling human subjects in concentration camps. If anything, it only amplifies his concern to hide adverse effects, which he did quite successfully until the company was given what can only be considered “A slap in the face”.)

[+] tb_technical|2 years ago|reply
What I don't understand is why the FDA doesn't automatically rubber stamp approvals on medicine approved in Canada and the European Union. We all know their medicine is good - so why can't I get it?!
[+] YZF|2 years ago|reply
Money and politics. Why can someone drive for 6 months in a country with a foreign driver's license but can't get a local license?

I've had this misdiagnosed medical condition for 25 years by multiple doctors. Nothing serious but extremely annoying. There are approved drugs in Europe for decades which are much better than the ones approved in North America. One day the company making the drug that's approved in North America decided to stop making it! You just could not get it. This was the event that finally led to the correct diagnosis for my condition because I was in so much pain I got to see the expert. Turns out my condition has a very simple non-prescription solution and for 25 years I've been taking the wrong meds that happen to alleviate this different condition as well!

So I am good but this condition is not uncommon. What are all the other people that really need this drug in North America doing?

I'm not sure what's the takeaway here. Maybe that efficient/smart organizations generally don't exist. This is just a reflection of human nature.

[+] Glawen|2 years ago|reply
Because it then becomes a kind of race to the bottom, where all manufacturers will approve medecine in the easiest country, a bit like flag on convenience for ships
[+] maxbond|2 years ago|reply
Thalidomide was widely approved, and I'm glad the FDA didn't rubber stamp it.
[+] dkasper|2 years ago|reply
I guess we know that, but why doesn't the EU rubber stamp medicine that's approved in the US? In my opinion it's actually good for there to be independent bodies reviewing things.
[+] anjel|2 years ago|reply
There are many divergent if not contradictory regulatory findings levels and limits between the US Canada and Europe. eg. Tolerable total cholesterol levels US:200 Euro: 240 (last I checked, these move around quite a bit. In the 70s the US banned Cyclamates as an artificial sweetener, but approved Sacharine while Canada approved Cyclamates and banned Sacharin. For Glaucoma treatment Europe is "Laser first, drugs second" while the US is Drugs first, laser surgery second. etc etc.
[+] Latty|2 years ago|reply
Somewhat famously the US not doing this stopped Thalidomide being such a large issue in the US, but of course one example of it failing doesn't mean it is inherently bad policy.
[+] m3kw9|2 years ago|reply
So all drugs will always be trialed at the most lax country and get approved at a stricter one? Then why make rules because the laxest country will be the one used and in control of approvals
[+] LordShredda|2 years ago|reply
Because they might make mistakes? See: thalidomide
[+] gumby|2 years ago|reply
This quote sounds like self interest in the article, but there is more to it:

> If anything goes wrong,” he argued, “think how bad it will look that we approved the drug so quickly“

People who take an approved drug are relying on the result and authority of a scientific process — across all drugs. Some scary results and people may start to fear the process, which may end up killing more people.

That said I’m sympathetic to his plight and think that he sounds like a candidate for the compassionate use program. Any result would not help approval as who in such a program would volunteer to be randomized into a placebo arm? They’d just plead in a prior human administration disclosure section of any NDA.

(Also, pragmatically, immunotherapy grate nets are customized and extremely expensive. Who will underwrite it? Not the drug company who would have nothing to gain, not the insurance company, and I doubt the patient could afford it).

It’s a sad story all around.

[+] sbuttgereit|2 years ago|reply
Parts of this problem are part of what a company a friend of mine works for is trying to solve:

https://xcures.com/

Part of what they do is they match patients with clinical trials for whom they would be candidates and then facilitate the process on an on-going basis. Apparently this bypasses a number of bureaucratic hurdles which can be faced by patients; for example a patient receiving care from a particular research institution might not be informed about trials being conducted by other, non-affiliated institutions.

Naturally, there's rather more than this to them, but this part sticks out in my mind.

And finally, take what I'm saying with a bit of a grain of salt because I am remembering from casual dinner-time discussions that I had some time ago with my friend. My memory might be bad, they may have changed what they do since I last talked with my friend about it, etc.

[+] dghughes|2 years ago|reply
My Dad was dying of IPF and I was always on the hunt for anything that may help. Of course there are countless quack "cures" but I came across a study that said metformin may help. Metformin is what people with type 2 diabetes use to help to control blood lipids among other things. My Mom actually takes metformin since she has type 2 diabetes. My Dad's doctor wouldn't even discuss it and dismissed it outright.

Dad died in 2021 and I find it difficult to think metformin may have helped him live a more comfortable life. I know it's not a cure but the research seems to indicate a significant improvement for anyone with IPF taking metformin along with anti-fibrotic medications which Dad did take. We should have just used Mom's metformin really Dad had nothing to lose but it's hard to see that at the time.

[+] abhaynayar|2 years ago|reply
I read this, and while I felt immense sadness, I will obviously move on with my life soon enough and forget about it. I wondered, if I were ever in the same situation, and someone read what I wrote before dying, they might empathize for a bit, but then they'd move on as well.

I just really wish that there's something beyond death, that there's something out there, and that all the suffering and unfairness and randomness in life is not for nothing. I hope we someday truly figure out what the fuck we are doing here in this universe. And if not that, at least we reach a point in biology where we have the ability to solve a lot of problems of the mind and body and make life better for everyone.

[+] youssefabdelm|2 years ago|reply
There was a drug called Rapamycin discussed in this Radiolab episode https://radiolab.org/podcast/dirty-drug-and-ice-cream-tub

The drug supposedly helped delay the doctor's cancer and extend his lifespan until he stopped taking it, then it came back "with a vengeance" and he passed away. He wanted to stop taking it to verify whether it was actually working or not.

I wonder if it might help this person? He might have to be on it for life though.

Don't take my word for it though, this is FAR from my field of expertise.

[+] latchkey|2 years ago|reply
If we block someones ability to try novel procedures, how is that any different from blocking their right to assisted suicide?