[frje1400]

That your gamble could be competely wrong is the main risk. What if the next generation AI doesn't change things much and is just a minor incremental improvement over the current tech, and it takes 3 years to get there?

It reminds me of the peak of self driving car hype bubble 5 (?) years ago. If someone back then had asked if becoming a truck driver was a good idea, ppl like you would have said no because their job would be gone soon. Instead we have more need for truck drivers than ever probably due to all the packages order online. Sure, could a revolutionary self driving truck be released tomorrow that makes some high percentage of all truck drivers lose their job? Sure, I guess, but my bet is that it's not happening.

I look at the generative AI thing the same way. Could a product theoretically be released that makes my job as a dev obsolete over night? Yes, absolutely, but it seems unlikely due how messy the real world is. Other people will make a different call.