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rhino369 | 2 years ago

What evidence exists that Tesla FSD is actually safer than an average driver?

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Karunamon|2 years ago

First party so some grains of salt are required, but they publish safety statistics.

https://www.tesla.com/VehicleSafetyReport

https://www.teslarati.com/tesla-fsd-beta-safety-crash-statis...

Both autopilot (basically lane-keeping) and FSD have multiple times higher miles driven between crashes than the US average.

SmooL|2 years ago

This is not a fair comparison - Tesla is comparing miles driven by their systems, which are inherently limited in scope to "easier" scenarios (only lane assist/only on highways/ect), against total US average, which includes _all_ gnarly road situations.

rootusrootus|2 years ago

AP better be safer than me on average, because anytime it gets a little confused it just squawks loudly and hands control back to me. Then if there's a crash 1 millisecond later they'll chalk that up to the human.

I really find it hard to understand how anyone who has driven a Tesla with AP for any distance thinks it is safer than a human driver. Maybe just drivers who are always texting or drunk. AP is the least defensive driver on the road, it needs close supervision.

Veserv|2 years ago

“Some” grains of salt? The “safety statistics” should be straight up ignored out of hand.

Do you trust VW if they first party report their emissions? Philip Morris if they first party report the effects of smoking on lung cancer? Unaudited first party reports are literally worthless. They have every incentive to lie or misrepresent.

For that matter, Tesla has repeatedly, actively lied to consumers and misrepresented their products.

The current director of Autopilot software, Ashok Elluswamy, admitted under oath to staging the initial “Paint It Black” Autopilot demo video claiming full self driving capability: “The person in the driver’s seat is only there for legal reasons. He is not doing anything. The car is driving itself.”.

The company misrepresented the range of their cars and actively suppressed complaints and gaslighted customers requesting service [1].

As for the “safety statistics” themselves, they are completely devoid of any information. The only information reported is a single ratio munging both Autopilot and FSD together.

They do not break out the products. They do not enumerate the crashes. They do not even report the number of crashes or number of miles used for calculating their “statistics”. They can not even be bothered to publish the damn numerator or denominator of their safety numbers. This is grade school level reporting and they are being allowed to drive 2 ton machines on public roads.

In contrast, this is what Waymo reports: https://storage.googleapis.com/waymo-uploads/files/documents...

A 30 page research paper itemizing the specific crashes. Methodology, references, evaluation models, comparisons, etc. That is what a proper safety report looks like, not the grade school bullshit Tesla marketing is pushing. Tesla safety and compliance should be ashamed of themselves for prioritizing marketing over human lives.

[1] https://www.reuters.com/investigates/special-report/tesla-ba...