Upcoming LK-99 paper will reportedly verify the superconductor

[sillysaurusx]

Imagine winning the online bet after it drops to < 5% confidence. Yum.

Why are we supposed to believe this new paper? Realistically there’s nothing here. This is an announcement of an announcement.

All we can do is speculate. And I speculate that if there were a room temperature superconductor, it would have been proven in the first paper. That’s the point of a paper.

EDIT: actually it’s 1%, so you’d 100x your money: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/18177/room-temp-supercon...

[neftaly]

If this article is true (i.e. the quoted bullet points were actually said by Kwon) I would feel a bit more optimistic. I haven't checked the veracity at all.

The metaculus wager says replication within 15 months. Point #2 #3 #5 & #8(!) is that this stuff is really really hard to make. Point #6 is pretty noncommittal about how long till the recipe is published (in the context of 20 years of work).

[hilbert42]

Either he's digging a hole so deep for himself that he'll come out the other side of the earth or he's a genius with insights others don't have.

It'd be damn nice if he were right though.

[sumeno]

[flagged]

[zindlerb]

This article reads like it was written by chatgpt

[ohadron]

Please don't build up my hopes, I'm not sure I'll be able to withstand additional disappointment.

[brucethemoose2]

My money is still on LK-99 being a finicky topological (only conducts in one direction) superconductor.

Its what the simulations suggest. It would explain why the replication attempts failed.

Its perhaps no world-saving bulk superconductor, but that still seems like a fascinating material for, say, microelectronics or high power electronics. For instance, what if foundries could align it and work it into a metal layer for microchips? Maybe they could take advantage of the directionality to make a gate out of it.

[Lewton]

> Its what the simulations suggest.

You have been misled by hypemen on twitter

[_ph_]

That is the beauty of the scientific process: if Kwon provides good scientific data, it should be a quick process to verify that.

[thelittleone]

Isn't science about inquiry and curiosity? The paper hasn't been released yet, what makes it nonsense?

[pengaru]

It's a brittle ceramic, nothing we care about changes even if it's real.

[paulddraper]

Absolutely false.

No matter what, if it were bonefide it would be interesting.

[jiggawatts]

A brittle ceramic that can be deposited as a thin layer onto a substrate is more than sufficient for a very wide range of applications.

Antennas in mobile phones, EM shielding for sensitive amplifiers, motherboard circuitry, etc, etc...

[sschueller]

Even if it does, it's a ceramic which makes its very limited for usability and you won't see it in an MRI machine or transmission line like the media wants you to believe. Also we actually already have some high temp super conducting ceramics.

We need a metallic high temperature super conductor.

[anonymousab]

What room+ temperature ceramic superconductors are there? Why would this not still be immensely useful anywhere a ceramic superconductor is currently used?