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iamandoni | 2 years ago

I believe there is a fallacy in the analysis of SF vs neighboring counties. The author is comparing YoY change; however, if the adjacent counties have less baseline nominal crime the YoY change could be less while hiding the magnitude of crime in SF. The author also doesn’t differentiate the types of crime in the analysis which makes a substantial difference. This section is in reference to the lenient theft laws, whereas these numbers commingle that data with violent crime and all other crime. And lastly, COVID is an outlier year where the population of the city dwindled, there were massive store closures, & there was less opportunity for non violent crimes.

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