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How will states pay for roads when gas taxes evaporate?

15 points| lxm | 2 years ago |wsj.com | reply

45 comments

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[+] novia|2 years ago|reply
Taxing the trucks hauling around freight containers? Their vehicles were always the ones tearing up the roads the most anyways, because they were heavier. Now electric cars are heavier and giving them a run for their money, but still.

Companies opt to move their stuff on the road instead of by train, even with financial incentives to use trains, because they don't want to have to wait for their materials to be loaded onto the train. Right now the roads are too cheap for corporations not to take advantage. If they are already willing to pay the premium for faster transit, why not milk them a little harder?

[+] cameldrv|2 years ago|reply
Electric cars aren’t really giving them a run for their money. Road damage goes as the 4th power of axle weight [1]

A fully loaded semi is 80,000 lbs and has 5 axles so 16,000 lbs/axle.

A Tesla model S weighs 4500 lbs and has 2 axles, so 2250 lbs/axle.

16000/2250 = 7.1

7.1^4 = 2541

So the truck is doing 2500x the damage of the Tesla. Esentially all road damage is done by heavy trucks which is why semis have to pull over and get weighed periodically to make sure they’re under the limit, but cars never do.

[1] https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fourth_power_law

[+] wpm|2 years ago|reply
The freight haulers have also done their part in ripping up their infrastructure or letting it rot (so you have to put your box on a truck to get it to the freight yard), running bigger trains slower and without a hard schedule, and generally being annoying to work with in the pursuit of better operating ratio.

Hell, a lot of truck traffic is moving freight from one rail yard to another.

[+] aresant|2 years ago|reply
With new taxes? LOL. This is the government we're talking about here folks. 99% of the time I actually click on the article before commenting but I literally can't resist on this title.
[+] ZoomerCretin|2 years ago|reply
This comment ignores that the general attitude towards taxation has changed severely in the past few decades. One party has extreme ideological opposition to enacting new taxes, and many states are effectively one-party states. The gas tax has not been high enough to pay for *half* of the upkeep for roads in any state in decades.

All states rely on the once-in-x-decades ""infrastructure"" bills to bail out their huge road maintenance deficit, and as a result, there is no incentive to invest in alternatives. There is unlimited money to subsidize all private car transportation and everything it requires: knocking down neighborhoods to expand highways, requiring 2/3-3/4 of lots be for parking and driveways, and funding it all with federal and state tax dollars (>90% of which is from money that doesn't come from gas taxes, auto registration fees, etc).

So no. The answer won't be new taxes, it'll be more of the same of every taxpayer paying tax money to subsidize 90% of car infrastructure with current taxation. The gas tax hasn't been relevant in decades outside of California.

[+] moate|2 years ago|reply
It really do be that simple sometimes. If they can convince people that “the lottery is here to pay for schools” I’m sure they’ll figure something out.
[+] happytiger|2 years ago|reply
Maybe we can have fewer cars and fewer roads and just focus more on building sustainable cities that are more focused on people instead of vehicles?
[+] ZoomerCretin|2 years ago|reply
You're downvoted for apparent irrelevance even though you're absolutely right. It's a shame that those of us who dislike car-centric design have no affordable options in the US.

Without a hint of irony, Musk likes to talk about engineers optimizing solutions to a problem that shouldn't exist. An EV is still a car, and still contributes to the impoverishment of our lives. Cars shed brake and tire dust. They necessitate huge scars across our cities, removing double-digit percentages of land from productive use with their 6-lane roads, and massive parking lots and structures, and ruin much of the rest of the land with proximity to noise and particulate pollution. They make (or made) suburbs economical, contributing to increasing loneliness and isolation, as well as raising the financial bar for participating in society. They've ruined what makes cities great, and without giving us anything in return except huge money and time sinks.

[+] ars|2 years ago|reply
My vehicle enables my person to do so much more than I could do without it.

To focus on People, for me, would imply making vehicle transport easier and quicker. There's virtually nothing I'm interested in that's in walking distance (there are plenty of things in walkable distance - I'm just interested in none of them).

[+] dublinben|2 years ago|reply
Maybe states should decrease their amount of roads in conjunction with this decline in revenue. That would make an even greater contribution towards lowering emissions by reducing the number of all cars, EV or otherwise.
[+] cratermoon|2 years ago|reply
The Road User Fee Task Force was almost right. They didn't take into account curb weight.

The right way forward is a weight-mile tax, like those levied on fleets and cargo transport. Good news! That will create incentives for lighter passenger vehicles, ending the reign of deadly oversize SUVs.https://jalopnik.com/watch-video-on-us-deadly-obsession-with...

[+] nradov|2 years ago|reply
SUVs cause almost no wear on roads. Almost all road damage comes from heavy commercial vehicles.
[+] rickydroll|2 years ago|reply
I suggest road tax measured by miles and vehicle mass. it would be a good incentive for dropping vehicle mass.
[+] anywhichway|2 years ago|reply
Miles seems like it might not be worth the added cost of administration. Also note that road damage as a function of weight goes up by roughly a power of 4. Doubling a vehicle's axel load causes 16x the road stress, though that may be in line with what you were suggesting and may even add weight to your point.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fourth_power_law

[+] hacker934|2 years ago|reply
A tire tax is probably the easiest way to accomplish this. Tax a tire based on it's lifespan (measured in tons^4 miles).

That way bikes and escooters can also pay a tiny tax to dispell the idea that they are freeloaders who don't belong on the road.

[+] ars|2 years ago|reply
And how do you propose tracking miles? Keep in mind you should not be taxed for out of state travel, not for travel on private roads.
[+] dangrossman|2 years ago|reply
31 states have already enacted some type of special registration fee or tax on EVs to make up for the gas tax. In the majority of them, the new EV-only fee is higher than the average gas tax paid by the average driver in that state.
[+] simonblack|2 years ago|reply
Higher vehicle registration fees. Higher taxes on electricity producers. Taxes on mileage, etc, etc.

The states have six ways to Sunday to extract money from you. Taxes never get reduced, they always go higher. Only Death is more inevitable.

[+] Eddy_Viscosity2|2 years ago|reply
The 'chicago model': They sell the rights to road passage for a single one-time fee and the winning company then charges whatever tolls they want for the next 99 years. Maybe they do road maintenance, maybe they don't, it will be left out of the contract as an oopsie.
[+] outside1234|2 years ago|reply
Hopefully with taxes based on vehicle weight and miles driven in last year
[+] candiddevmike|2 years ago|reply
How much worse will the roads become with electric vehicles that are traditionally quite a bit heavier than their ICE counterparts? Will it require more repairs/taxes?
[+] rokkitmensch|2 years ago|reply
Road wear is proportional to the fourth of vehicle weight (modulo contact patch size, but let's not complicate things), so let's tax in the same proportion!

Tangentially, I got a look at a Rivian's front tires today, wanting to spot-check the rumor that model shreds front mitts and they looked worse than the rears on the Mustang some friends welded the rear differential on.

Rivians are rumored to squat at highway speed and dump all their power (800 hp, is it?) through the front wheels. The suspension supposedly toes the fronts in for stability at high speed, which results in scrubbing, shredding the fronts.

These mitts, I swear, had wear flaps, where the tire was peeling up. The rears showed none of this. Mind you these were the stock Pirellis that are supposedly extra warrantied for the Rivians design.

Like a true moron I was too excited to go biking to get a picture, and walked off satisfied in validating the internet rumor with my own eyes and those of a couple buddies. One of whom is an insurance agent and just rolled his eyes, saying, "oh yeah we're having an awful time getting coverage for those".

[+] t_tsonev|2 years ago|reply
Not much? EVs have better weight distribution and axle loads are similar to the front axle of an ICE car.

The road wear goes up to the third power of weight so you really should be looking at semis for road wear.

[+] nickthegreek|2 years ago|reply
In my midwest state, yearly registration is an extra $200 for ev, $100 for hybrid.
[+] timbit42|2 years ago|reply
Wouldn't it be more fair to tax on weight and mileage driven?
[+] Nursie|2 years ago|reply
I can’t read the full thing due to the paywall, but having read the intro I would recommend states against adopting what Victoria did here in Aus - introduce a special EV tax.

While the rest of the world is trying to incentivise the move away from fossil fuels any which way, Victoria decided that buying EVs was cheating your taxes and represented a loophole. So they slapped a special tax just on them. With EVs being more expensive than ICE cars anyway, it really doesn’t help make it attractive to make the switch.

Yes, states need revenue, and a fuel tax has effectively been a good way to tax by road use. We’ll need another way. But let’s not shoot ourselves in the foot while doing it eh?

[+] parineum|2 years ago|reply
The general fund. Next question.
[+] nine_zeros|2 years ago|reply
Some jurisdictions literally tax cars as property. This technique will just become more popular.