[rkho]

"Historic" has been a pretty popular adjective these days used to overstate the significance of a statistic or fact.

From the FBI's own data[1], which is used as the main citation of this post, these were the homicide rates per 100k for the past eleven years:

2012: 4.7

2013: 4.5 (-0.2)

2014: 4.4 (-0.1)

2015: 4.9 (+0.5)

2016: 5.4 (+0.5)

2017: 5.3 (-0.1)

2018: 5.0 (-0.3)

2019: 5.1 (+0.1)

2020: 6.5 (+1.4)

2021: 6.8 (+0.3)

2022: 6.3 (-0.5)

Using this data, the same headline could have been run in 2018. This number is +1.2 pre-pandemic.

[1]: https://cde.ucr.cjis.gov/LATEST/webapp/#/pages/explorer/crim...

[cpncrunch]

11-12% drop in 2023 so far this year, according to the article. That would put it around 5.6, which is close to 2016 levels.