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manyoso | 2 years ago

They acquired two of the founders least responsible for the actual tech. They made a huge bet on OpenAI to produce the tech and that relationship is going down the drain. Watch the market today, the next week, the next month, the next six months and that will tell you what I say: this is a disaster for MS and they damn well know it.

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JumpCrisscross|2 years ago

> They acquired two of the founders least responsible for the actual tech

Microsoft also “has a perpetual license to all OpenAI IP (short of artificial general intelligence), including source code and model weights.”

If you’re a scientist, OpenAI is a fine place to be, though less differentiated than before. If you’re an engineer more interested in money and don’t want the risk of a start-up, Microsoft seems the obvious path forward.

thatsadude|2 years ago

Based on credits in Gpt3 and 4 papers, I think the team that follows Sam and Greg are the main drivers of the tech. Ilya is an advisor more or less.

tw04|2 years ago

You're making the assumption that the technical folks won't follow him, and that's a pretty ridiculous bet at this point unless you've got some more data you're just not sharing.

Out of the gate the technical folks at OA had to be perfectly fine with Microsoft as a company given they knew all of the tech they were building was going to be utilized by MS carte blanche.

So now that their OA equity is staring down the barrel of being worthless, what's stopping them from getting a potentially slightly lower but still significant payday from MS directly?

edgyquant|2 years ago

The only technically person who matters here, the one who came from deepmind and who is the worlds top AI researcher, is sure as hell not going to follow him since he’s the reason Sam is gone.

dkrich|2 years ago

You’ve nailed it. The excitement is going to be short lived imo

fernandotakai|2 years ago

given that 500 employees are saying "either give us sama and gdb back or we are going to msft", i say nadella won hard.

anonylizard|2 years ago

Did you even research the basic facts?

Microsoft stock is up in the pre-market, because they basically got half of the OpenAI team for free.

The majority of top researchers at OpenAI are expressing solidarity for Sam and basically signalling they want to move too, just check out twitter. That also includes like the majority of the execs tehre.

dkrich|2 years ago

Yes, low volume pre market moves on the back of a nonstop news flow always predict how they end up