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optimiz3 | 2 years ago
I ask because price forecasting is a data modeling problem, and I'm skeptical of the bot's listed win rates. Unless one knows how their signals work (i.e. what real world market phenomenon you are modeling), there's no way one should trust that edge.
Separately, if you breakdown other indicators like CCI you realize they are crappier versions of basic statistical methods like Z-scoring. Or that anything using a Wilders average is using a crappier EWMA, and then that anything using EWMA can be improved to be stationary by filtering out noise outside the passband of information you want to target.
So I'm skeptical of the bot.
stocknear|2 years ago
However, I think we have to reformulate the question. Instead of maximizing the win rate (which relies on forecasting the future price) the real task would be minimizing risk (which does not rely on forecasting the future price instead adapting to the new environment).
stocknear|2 years ago
In the next version of the model I use more sophisticated features and architecture of the model to increase the win rate and minimize the loss.
jzombie|2 years ago