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salimmadjd | 2 years ago

OT - 3b1b did an interesting video on the epidemic modeling [0] that shaped my thinking a bit on the lockdown and caused me to lose a few friends to argue against the prolonged lockdowns.

I believe he used the same technique deployed by major media institutions and health organizations.

Basically the interesting conclusion was unless you apply a very rigorous lockdown (CCP style) the virus ultimately spreads. All you’re doing is spreading the time. As in “flattening the curve”.

As some might recall the initial lockdown was proposed as a way to flatten the curve and allow the medical system to cope better by having a more gradual influx of patients. Which makes me think everyone promoting the initial lockdown understood its limitations and its objectives.

However, for what ever reason “control demolition” of the economy to make Trump lose the election or who knows why it turned into a long term lockdown.

I know this is a controversial topic, but it shouldn’t be. This is a clear case that the science of pandemic modeling suggested one path and for political reasons we were pushed to follow a course that caused a lot of damage, some irreversible, to the society.

[0] https://youtu.be/gxAaO2rsdIs?si=cNkcQ7actTnb5sez

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wodenokoto|2 years ago

Yes, basically everywhere lockdown started as a “flattening the curve” and then at some point became “everyone needs to be kept out of harms way until everyone is vaccinated”.

That isn’t an American experience it was the same almost everywhere lock down was initiated.

So I am not sure it makes sense to blame it on Trump haters.