[loki-ai]

that’s precisely the point: the technical geniuses lack creativity to predict how things can go wrong in a thousand of different ways.

[orbital-decay]

What makes you think they're predicting the apocalypse correctly, then?

Another thing the technical geniuses tend to be good at is exploiting the power they suddenly obtain in their own interest, either directly or with regulations and collusion with those who hold actual hard power.

Evil AI owners seem to be much closer and far more material than an evil AI, and coincidentally it's something that is almost entirely lacking from the discourse, as public attention is too focused on sci-fi hypotheticals.

[PeterisP]

The bar is different - saying "there is no risk of apocalypse" requires you to be ~100% certain, because it you're saying "I'm 99% certain that there won't be a an apocalypse" then you're on the side of the AI-risk people, because a low-probability extinction event does justify action; the risk argument isn't that apocalypse is certain but rather that it is sufficiently plausible to take preventive measures.

[oh_sigh]

So...who isn't lacking the creativity? In fact, I would say techies are unreasonably gloomy because they grew up obsessing over sci-fi.

[pdimitar]

Which also means they can't predict the apocalyptic scenarios.

Q.E.D.