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EricMausler | 2 years ago
In any case he does mention it won't fix all the problems but that it can clean up some of them and make addressing other problems a bit more straightforward. With p-values, sometimes even honest experiments end up with misleading conclusions. It takes a decent amount of complex understanding to perform properly, while something like gathering data and doing a conditional probability calculation has presumably less risk of honest mistakes
CrazyStat|2 years ago
His claim about likelihoods being immune to p-hacking is far too strong.
> With p-values, sometimes even honest experiments end up with misleading conclusions. It takes a decent amount of complex understanding to perform properly, while something like gathering data and doing a conditional probability calculation has presumably less risk of honest mistakes
Maybe. I've seen an experienced Bayesian statistician who had published a paper about Lindley's paradox fall prey to Lindley's paradox and publish a misleading conclusion as a result. Bayesian analysis also has some pitfalls. Name withheld to protect the innocent.