[billllll]

Including those events would certainly change the picture. I don't like how the article implies that all this was a result of GitHub founders being smart rather than SourceForge misplaying their hand. The article smacks of the irrational worship of successful founders that's so common.

In reality, I think there was (and still is, albeit small) market for alternative hosting, and there definitely were niches where SourceForge was better at (downloading binaries, for example). If SourceForge didn't misplay their hand, it's entirely possible Github won't have the near monopoly on open source hosting they have now.