[amayne]

Original author here:

A. Some parts of the economy will grow. Some will shrink. My claim is that if you believe that AI will create new efficiencies and continue to do so, then overall economic growth will increase at a faster rate than ever.

B. Predicting what architecture could lead to this growth is beyond the scope of this article. The point was to say that if we keep getting increased efficiencies we'll get increased growth.

C. Job creation accelerates. Before I was hired at OpenAI in 2020, nobody on the planet had ever been hired as a prompt engineer. Now it's a career (at least for the time being.)

D. I'm assuming maximizing profit in the most near-sighted way possible. Same as it has ever been.

Is there a specific claim or argument that you disagree with?

[hatenberg]

Growth does not equal jobs and you probably know that.

[amayne]

Okun’s Law has held up pretty well over the last 60 years. Are you aware of any research that disputes that other than the degree of the coefficient?