While mister Simons might not be the best example, I sometimes feel that you can easily beat the market if you are well connected and have access to information that can move the markets before anyone else. For example how much know-how do you need to beat the market if you're a US senator? You know before anyone else what's going to happen regarding policy and can plan accordingly.
There were rumours about this even regarding Simons' Medallion fund. About how all the talk about math and algorithms was just a red herring to divert from the fact that it was mostly insider knowledge that did the heavy lifting. Alas these rumours were never confirmed as far as I know.
choilive|1 year ago
paulpauper|1 year ago
paulpauper|1 year ago
There are tons of strategies out there that does not involve insider trading or fraud. One such example is simply shorting Bitcoin at the market open whilst going long QQQ. This has paid a lot , like today , in which Bitcoin is down 3% and QQQ down a tad. There are people running this strategy now which despite being public knowledge, is still profitable. Shorting bitcoin during market hours, in fact, realizes all of the downside of Bitcoin without the upside from shorting it.
There are other strategies like this. now imagine you assemble the greatest minds in the world and tons of computing power to find many strategies and run them 24-7.
instagib|1 year ago
Beating the S&P 500 is difficult and there are now zero fee funds to mimic it.
ldjkfkdsjnv|1 year ago
paulpauper|1 year ago
TeaBrain|1 year ago
infecto|1 year ago
Insider trading exists but the amount of secrecy to make that theory a reality would be unobtainable.
questinthrow|1 year ago
cess11|1 year ago