[muffinman26]

Isn't it mid-skilled desk jobs that are becoming worth less and less?

You can't automate a lot of tasks firefighters do. You need someone to actually show up in-person, in an area where there might be things that interfere with electronics.

Automation in cleaning or cooking is pretty minimal. I don't see computers replacing chefs at any of the restaurants in town. We have roombas, but they aren't even particularly good at vacuuming - they can't move furniture to get behind it - and I don't know of anything that automates dusting, etc. There's laundry machines and dishwashers, but they still require human intervention.

We have more and more people delivering packages, not less, and self-driving technology is a dangerous/morbid joke.

On the other hand, automation of websites is getting better, but we didn't really need most websites anyway.

[atleastoptimal]

You can't yet, but with robots you will be able to.

Once humanoids are good enough nobody will be, or rightfully want to be a firefighter. Even without AGI, teleoperation could be enough. However once AI is good enough that you don't need a human to operate it then there's no reason to hire a human for any step in the process.

[ramblenode]

There is no clear path to a general android. Every physical task that has been automated with robots requires robots engineered specifically for that task. Engineering, building, and maintaining those robots is a massive expense and only happens for tasks that are lucrative and occur at scale. Much of the economy is in a long tail of tasks that would not be profitable to automate, barring a major revolution in robotics.

[kevincox]

Or more importantly you can make each human far more effective with partial automation (AKA tools).