[htfu]

The issue with what you write is that it's most all nonsense. Your core thesis doesn't pass the smell test at all.

Because you utterly ignore Finland. It's less that it's not NATO and more that it literally can't be. Why would Putin drive them into NATO if having NATO neighbors (which, besides, was already a fact anyways) is such a threat?

He views it as his rightful property, and that's that.