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PheonixPharts | 1 year ago

> hard not to regret the choice

If you can't handle "regret" in these cases, then you probably shouldn't be in a position where you're deriving the vast majority of your income/weatlh from investments (which is fundamentally what a CEO does).

It's astounding how many ICs can't wrap their heads around the concept that holding onto your RSUs make absolutely no financial sense. With rare exceptions, this doesn't make sense for anyone. And yet, fear for "regret" keeps people holding.

But it's not shocking that even in tech many ICs are not good at reasoning financially. But if you want to be a co-founder, and hold a lot of your wealth in investments it's essentially that you learn to reason, plan and accept outcomes accordingly. Otherwise you're more-or-less a professional gambler.

discuss

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molyss|1 year ago

I’m going to rebound on that and explain why it doesn’t make sense to hold on to RSUs.

Disclaimer: I’m an IC myself.

I worked for my 1st company for 15 years. Held to their RSUs most of the time. Then moved to another (public) company and stayed there for a year before leaving. Now in a startup with a lower salary and no immediate liquidity on my stock options.

When you work at a public company, you have multiple exposures to the company’s growth: the RSUs that have already vested, the RSUs that haven’t vested yet and through your own career growth and salary increase that goes with a successful company. If you were early enough, you also get market cred for having made the company successful. If the companies goes under (or shrinks, or lays people off), all those assets are at risk.

Usually, one has more in granted stocks than in vested stocks. If your company just went public, you might have a lote more sellable than in your pipeline, but even that is unusual. Usually, you’ll still have more in the pipeline than you’ve already vested.

If your company has been public for a while, you should get frequent refreshes, which means you still have a significant numbers of unvested shares.

Regardless, you should sell as soon as you can, because of the remaining exposure through unvested equity. Use the proceeds to place in an ETF, or in a high-yield savings account, or some more aggressive investment strategy. Or use it for the downpayment on your house, or fund your kid’s college funds, whatever floats your boat.

Anyways, keep in mind that you still have a significant exposure to the growth of the company through your unvested equities. If you’re worried about short-term cap gain, don’t be. If you sell immediately, there’s no growth between cost basis and selling price, so no cap gain. Another upside to selling is that you’re not bound by the blackout periods, so your assets are much more liquid. And remember you still have exposure

vl|1 year ago

I would say that for most RSU lots it's better to wait for long-term capital gain taxes to kick in before selling.

skybrian|1 year ago

I believe in diversification and index funds for most people, but this seems overdone.

The issue here is that sometimes if you procrastinate about diversifying, it pays off very well. As a Google employee (who joined after IPO), it was by far my best investment and funded my retirement.

I guess that's accidental gambling. I did have other investments.

nealchandra|1 year ago

The way you can test if it's accidental gambling is by answering the following:

If you had worked at a different company with pure cash comp equivalent to your RSUs, would you have invested the same $$ in Google stock? Or would you have invested it instead in an aggressive but diversified portfolio (e.g. 100% S&P 500 or even just a bucket of blue-chip tech stocks).

I am confident that for the vast majority of tech employees they would choose the latter if they were operating in a pure cash regime.

lurking_swe|1 year ago

Yes that’s accidental gambling. Or what i like to call “at the right place at the right time”.

Ask a Yahoo employee how that same plan would have worked out for them.

That being said, good for you. :)

kelnos|1 year ago

I'll agree that it's not super common that holding onto RSUs makes sense, but I think it's more common than "rare exceptions".

Ultimately it's an investing decision. If you believe the stock price is going up at a rate faster than the rest of the market, and are willing to accept the risk that a concentrated position like that entails, then that can make financial sense.

For people who want to hold their RSUs but still want to diversify to some extent, my usual recommendation is to pick some percent of the shares that vest every quarter to sell immediately, and hold the rest. And -- critically -- to stick with that commitment every single quarter, and not fall into the trap of thinking "oh, the stock seems to be doing so well, I'll skip the sale this quarter". (Of course, a measured re-evaluation of the plan is a reasonable and good thing to do every so often.)