[sackfield]

I would hazard a guess that AI technology is already close to break even from an economic perspective, nearly everyone I know (especially those not in tech) uses it on a daily basis to assist with their work, especially coming in the form of dealing with pointless bureaucracy, writing emails and ideation.

From a cashflow perspective however it is no where near close to capturing its economic benefit, and to be fair to the bubble supporters I agree that I can't see how it can capture this in the short term. In the long term its pretty clear that there will be some major winners here who will reap big rewards.

[paxys]

Everyone is relying on the costs of computation to come down by an order of magnitude. Whether that will actually happen – let's see.

[aurareturn]

It has already come down by magnitudes. Just check API costs for the same level of intelligence of models over the last 1.5 years.