[dayofthedaleks]

I appreciate an abstract that doesn't beat about the bush:

The collapse time is estimated between 2037-2064 (10-90% CI) with a mean of 2050 and the probability of an AMOC collapse before the year 2050 is estimated to be 59 +/- 17%.

We'll miss you, Gulf Stream.

[bendigedig]

The AMOC and the Gulf Stream are two separate systems.

[cube2222]

For those curious, I found this article[0] going into the details, differences, and interactions between them.

TLDR: the Gulf Stream originates from a very different phenomenon than the AMOC and is not at risk of collapse. A small part of the heat transported by the Gulf Stream does originate from the AMOC though, but its collapse would be much less severe than a full collapse of the Gulf Stream.

[0]: https://bigthink.com/strange-maps/gulf-stream-collapse-amoc/

[alkyon]

The Gulf Stream is part of the AMOC.

[candiddevmike]

Wonder how much immigration this will create from northern Europe. AIUI the collapse will make those countries quite chilly.

[huuhee3]

I wonder how the summers would be under this scenario. Cold winters alone wouldn't be such a huge problem, but if food production collapses then we'll be in trouble.

[roughly]

We really, really will.