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nyrulez | 1 year ago

It's about stuff we don't know yet. From today's lens, the essay seems absurd. But I think it's hinging on continued discoveries that improve one or all of learning algorithms, compute efficiency, compute cost and applying algorithms to real world problems better.

5 years ago, I wouldn't have believed any of what exists today. I saw internal demos that showed 2nd or 3rd grade reading comprehension in 2017 and statements were made about how in the next decade, we will probably reach college level comprehension. We have come so far beyond that in less than half the time. Technology isn't about scaling incrementally and continuing on the same path using the same principles we know today. It's about disruption that felt impossible before - that feels like a constant to me now. Seeing everything I've seen in the last 20 years, it's going to continue to happen. We just can't see it yet.

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