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AnonCoward42 | 1 year ago

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rich_sasha|1 year ago

I think the GPS jamming is fairly clearly a Russian operation. Not sure if this is a good source, but just eyeballing where the disruptions are, they centre around Kaliningrad region: https://rntfnd.org/2024/05/10/hobbyists-zero-in-on-kaliningr...

Another one is hybrid warfare via artificial migration on Russia's Western borders. Poland, the Baltic states, and to a lesser extent also Finland, experience waves of aggressive migrants forcing these borders, often with clear help, or coercion, from Russian or Belarusian security forces. To be clear, I feel heavily for people escaping poverty and war, my point is they are being weaponised here.

Protecting the borders saps resources from the militaries of these countries.

Whether other specific attacks are Russian or not is hard to know, but it seems beyond doubt that Russia is engaging in low level hostility against the West.

AnonCoward42|1 year ago

> I think the GPS jamming is fairly clearly a Russian operation. Not sure if this is a good source, but just eyeballing where the disruptions are, they centre around Kaliningrad region:

But you can admit that the IKEA fire example is laughable, right? But even the GPS jamming is questionable when it comes to the motivation. Do they have military reasons for it or is it to "disrupt people’s everyday lives"?

> Another one is hybrid warfare via artificial migration on Russia's Western borders. Poland, the Baltic states, and to a lesser extent also Finland, experience waves of aggressive migrants forcing these borders, often with clear help, or coercion, from Russian or Belarusian security forces. To be clear, I feel heavily for people escaping poverty and war, my point is they are being weaponised here.

This is actually a bit more nuanced than that. We are the ones that want (illegal) migration, it was only a problem when Belarus opened the borders and to be fair they have no obligation to keep them and they were upfront about it. It was a classic case of hypocrisy.

That Russia did the same thing is new to me, but if Baltic states/Finland have proper border control there is no problem.

It's a problem with our border control and creating unnecessary pull factors.

> Whether other specific attacks are Russian or not is hard to know, but it seems beyond doubt that Russia is engaging in low level hostility against the West.

I see the exact opposite and mostly retaliation to be honest, but even if you do not agree you can probably agree that the west is also hostile towards Russia. It's obvious that this opinion is not well received, but the west/US started all of it, starting at least with 2008 NATO summit and making it obvious in 2014 Ukraine coup d'état. I don't know what Russia did to the US to warrant this kind of provocation.

chipdart|1 year ago

> (...) we should still assume that most media are just propaganda (...)

Is the ship filled with the same Beirute port explosion compound? Yes or no?

Is the ship refusing to turn to Russian ports and instead is aimlessly trying to get into strategic EU/NATO ports?

Even the captain failed to address any kind of repair while at Port.

Only a moron does not consider this a threat worth mitigating.

nkrisc|1 year ago

When you have a Russian ship carrying this much ammonium nitrate, it’s prudent to assume the worst, even without evidence.

Russia has made their bed, and now they must sleep in it.