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enumjorge | 1 year ago

I'm not sure why people can't be humble enough to accept that we don't really know what the future will hold. Just because people have underestimated some new technology in the past doesn't mean that will continue to be true for all new technologies.

The fact that LLMs currently do not really understand the answers they're giving you is a pretty significant limitation they have. It doesn't make them useless, but it means they're not as useful at a lot of tasks that people think they can handle. And that limitation is also fundamental to how LLMs work. Can that be overcome? Maybe. There's certainly a ton of money behind it and a lot of smart people are working on it. But is it guaranteed?

Perhaps I'm wrong and we already know that it's simply a matter of time. I'd love to read an technical explanation for why that is, but I mostly see people rolling their eyes at us mere mortals who don't see how this will obviously change everything as if we're too small minded to understand what's going on.

To be extra clear, I'm not saying LLMs won't be a technological innovation as seismic as the invention of the car. My confusion is why for some there doesn't seem to be room for doubt.

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luckydata|1 year ago

in the current state they are already plenty useful, I don't think it's worth proving mathematically that something can work 100% of the times when 80% is good enough.