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olao99 | 1 year ago
Are they trying to model every single atom?
Is this a case where the physicists in charge get away with programming the most inefficient models possible and then the administration simply replies "oh I guess we'll need a bigger supercomputer"
p_l|1 year ago
The alternative is to literally build and detonate a bomb to get empirical data on given design, which might have problems with replicability (important when applying the results to rest of the stockpile) or how exact the data is.
And remember that there is more than one user of every supercomputer deployed at such labs, whether it be multiple "paying" jobs like research simulations, smaller jobs run to educate, test, and optimize before running full scale work, etc.
AFAIK for considerable amount of time, supercomputers run more than one job at a time, too.
Jabbles|1 year ago
Citation needed.
1 gram of Uranium 235 contains 2e21 atoms, which would take 15 minutes for this supercomputer to count.
"nuclear bomb simulations" do not need to simulate every atom.
I speculate that there will be some simulations at the subatomic scale, and they will be used to inform other simulations of larger quantities at lower resolutions.
https://www.wolframalpha.com/input?i=atoms+in+1+gram+of+uran...
pkaye|1 year ago
sliken|1 year ago
So it involves very small time scales, chemistry, fission, fusion, creating and channeling plasmas, high neutron fluxes, extremely high pressures, and of course the exponential release of amazing amounts of energy as matter is literally converted to energy and temperatures exceeding those in the sun.
Then add to all of that is the reality of aging. Explosives can degrade, the structure can weaken (age and radiation), radioactive materials have half lives, etc. What should the replacement rate be? What kind of maintenance would lengthen the useful lives of the weapons? What fraction of the arsenal should work at any given time? How will vibration during delivery impact the above?
Seems like plenty to keep a supercomputer busy.
ethbr1|1 year ago
I'd assume computing atomic behavior at 0K is a lot simpler than at 800,000,000K, over the same time step. ;)
JumpCrisscross|1 year ago
Given all nuclear physics happens inside atoms, I'd hope they're being more precise.
Note that a frontier of fusion physics is characterising plasma flows. So even at the atom-by-atom level, we're nowhere close to a solved problem.
amelius|1 year ago
rcxdude|1 year ago
Modelling a single nucleus, even one much lighter weight than uranium, is a captital-H Hard Problem involving many subject matter experts and a lot of optimisation work far beyond 'just throw it on a GPU'. Quantum systems get non-tractable without very clever approximations and a lot of compute very quickly, and quantum chromodynamics is by far the worst at this. Look up lattice QCD for a relevant keyword.
CapitalistCartr|1 year ago
nordsieck|1 year ago
While that's true, the information that is online is surprisingly detailed.
For example, this series "Nuclear 101: How Nuclear Bombs Work"
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=zVhQOhxb1Mc
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MnW7DxsJth0
wbl|1 year ago
piombisallow|1 year ago
GemesAS|1 year ago
TeMPOraL|1 year ago
glial|1 year ago
alephnerd|1 year ago
I wrote a previous HN comment explaining this:
Tl;dr - Monte Carlo Simulations are hard and the NPT prevents live testing similar to Bikini Atoll or Semipalatinsk-21
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=39515697
bongodongobob|1 year ago