All these factors will contribute.
Explosion of tech resources to help caregivers teach kids, most notably, but not limited to chatGPT
Decline in federal funding for schools
Growth in homeschool communities and entrepreneurship by teachers leaving the system (as they develop classes and curriculum in their communities)
Clear benefits of 1-1 mastery learning
Clear benefits to mixed age groups with more time to interact
Clear benefits of more time for self-directed learning
Clear benefits of choosing different curricula and learning plans to suit different children's learnign needs
Pushback on teaching climate change and inclusive curriculum (Black history, LGBTQ+, Indigenous history, etc) leading to mass exist on the left
Rise in government funding for modular learning (ESAs and microgrants)
Rise in remote work (families can travel and be at home with kids; when kids start young they can be independent while parents work)
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