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enkid | 1 year ago

Just look at likelihood you are going to die each mile traveled. Using that method, passenger planes are 750 times safer than cars.

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dTal|1 year ago

I was taking issue specifically with the calculation in the article, not making an unrelated comparative analysis of planes vs cars.

That being said, such stats as yours do not tell the whole story. The likelihood of dying while driving across the Atlantic Ocean approaches 100%...

dTal|1 year ago

Oh, and fun fact: an Apollo moon mission racked up nearly 3 million passenger miles per flight and did not suffer a single fatality. Even if the astronauts on Apollo 13 had not survived, and the whole program cancelled right then and there, by fatalities-per-passenger-mile a Saturn V to the moon would still be far "safer" than driving, which averages one death every quarter of a million miles.

I think this demonstrates two important flaws with the "passenger miles" concept: 1, miles are not always fungible between modes of transport. 2, intuitively we care more about the risk per trip, rather than the risk per mile.