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rougka | 1 year ago

Only when forgetting that the US was extremely naive towards Stalin after-WW2, breaking promises and taking over eastern europe.

This now classical approach where the US is some absolute evil confronted by the nice guy Stalinists could be funny if not widespread

discuss

order

somenameforme|1 year ago

I don't think the US is evil, nor any country nice. Rather I think countries are driven by their own self interest. The problem is that sometimes those self interest, at one level, seem reasonable, but at a larger scale lead to catastrophe. That was the entire point of the wargame, to see if the path the US was taking was actually even in its own self interest - and it turned out that it was not.

I feel that in recent times this degree of objectivity, and even humility, has largely been lost. It perhaps started most clearly with the wargames around a conflict with Iran - 'Millennium Challenge 2002'. [1] The problem we had is that the US lost that wargame, badly. So rather than learn from that, we changed the rules and the entire expensive exercise turned into a scripted event where the good guys naturally won and the bad guys naturally lost.

Another issue is I think an increasingly large number of countries being coerced into no longer acting in their own self interest. This is a sure-fire way to enter into catastrophe because the reality is that the coercer often cares very little for the coerced, even more so when the coerced's loss is the coercer's gain.

[1] - https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Millennium_Challenge_2002