[morbicer]

Not an LLM but models could get pretty good at weather

https://www.technologyreview.com/2024/12/04/1107892/google-d...

[bmacho]

No, they don't, since the weather is chaotic.

I mean, there are the theorems about how close you can get, and models are not better than theoretically possible.

[david-gpu]

Yeah, I wish more people understood that it is simply not possible to make precise long-term forecasts of chaotic systems. Whether it is weather, financial markets, etc.

It is not that we don't know yet because our models are inadequate, it's that it is unknowable.