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mikehollinger | 1 year ago

> what were you thinking then before your aha moment? :D

My naive view was that there was some sort of “normalization” or “pattern matching” that was happening. Like - you can look at a trend line that generally has some shape, and notice when something changes or there’s a discontinuity. That’s a very simplistic view - but - I assumed that stuff was trying to do regressions and notice when something was out of a statistical norm like k-means analysis. Which works, sort of, but is difficult to generalize.

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tessierashpool9|1 year ago

> Like - you can look at a trend line that generally has some shape, and notice when something changes or there’s a discontinuity.

what you describe here is effectively forecasting a model of what is expected to happen and then you notice a deviation from it.

naijaboiler|1 year ago

to me its always amazing how people look at whats evidently obvious to me and say its profound.