[gadtfly]

Also, though it's not "new information": "Making AI that is smarter than almost all humans at almost all things [...] is most likely to happen in 2026-2027." continues to sail over everybody's head, not a single comment about it, even to shit on it. People will continue to act as though they are literally blind to this, as though they literally don't see it.

[dragonwriter]

> People will continue to act as though they are literally blind to this, as though they literally don't see it.

Or like they see it and have learned the appropriate weight to give unsupported predictions of this type from people with a vested interest in them being perceived as true. It not only not new information, its not information at all.

[disgruntledphd2]

I find that really, really, really hard to believe, given the current approaches.

[suraci]

we're getting used to it

and, personally, i think, if any CEO in this industry dare to say "we won't get a super AI in 2028"

many people will be disappointed, some people will be scared, and one prisident be pissed off