[Eliezer]

I wonder who wrote this? Doesn't sound like Altman's voice.

I wonder who theorized this? Altman isn't known for having models about AGI.

To the actual theorist: Claiming in one paragraph that AI goes as log resources, and in the next paragraph that the resource costs drop by 10x per year, is a contradiction; the latter paragraph shows a dependence on algorithms that is nothing like "it's just the compute silly".

[Centigonal]

> Altman isn't known for having models about AGI.

His blog posts about AGI predate OpenAI.

https://blog.samaltman.com/machine-intelligence-part-1

https://blog.samaltman.com/machine-intelligence-part-2

[Eliezer]

Hadn't seen that before, and despite being bog-standard Bostrom it's still more of an attempt to hold a theory than I'd seen associated with him before. Note nonoverlap of writing style and theory with the present post.