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BalloonsInVLEO | 1 year ago

Nope!

Weirdly, I'm probably the one person who's worked extensively with both paradigms...

There are several players in the balloon market spinning up. It's becoming very hot very fast.

The balloons in question are much smarter that radiosondes now. They are fully capable of autonomous navigation within certain limits and can even orbit a point for days at a time via some clever weather mechanics. They're also very easy to launch. Two guys and a truck can launch over a dozen in a day and they're all aggregated and flown remotely via various links.

On the payload side it's actually much easier to do optics on a balloon, you have all the same pressure and thermal issues as space but you can iterate much faster when your cost to first pixels is thousands instead of tens of millions for the same ground resolution (GSD, drives necessary aperture size). I'm not going to spell out the details on either because that's the secret sauce that pays my mortgage but it suffices to say, if you're 10x lower, you need a lens that weights a little less. It's also worth noting that a VLEO sat will only be overhead for a few minutes, balloons can stream live video as long as you want, right now (no future tech or constellations needed).

The class of UAV that can begin to compete with a balloon is two to three orders of magnitude more expensive and still has nowhere near the endurance.

There are also other sensors and phenomenologies that are wildly more capable on a balloon platform than any type of satellite or UAV but I'll get yelled at if I spell any of those out...

discuss

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tomaskafka|1 year ago

Saving this for another round of 'UFO sightings' panic.

There was recently an article about the 'UFOs' actually being 'just' Chinese balloons designed to record everything about the radars poking them to learn about capabilities of US defense systems (including F-35 in action). Guess we'll see more of them soon.

BalloonsInVLEO|1 year ago

I've seen various balloons more or less constantly spook the UFO people. There are a few designs that don't look like a traditional balloon so everyone thinks they're some sort of cloaking field or something

eigart|1 year ago

Are you in Europe? Are there any promising European companies in this space? I’ve been thinking that something like this would be perfect in Europe going forward. Could help de-risk both reliance on subsea comms cables, US constellations and addresses the (comparative) lack of capital.

lnsru|1 year ago

I don’t think he’s in Europe. Who will fund such risky venture or buy services from a company in there. Ballons however are very good for transport of cigarettes over the border of Belarus into EU. Cigarettes are light and the balloons from China cheap.

BalloonsInVLEO|1 year ago

All the companies I know of are US based. That said if you know what you're doing it's much lower risk than a satellite venture

syedkarim|1 year ago

Are you staying under the 12-pound ICAO-limit for a payload (which must be split into two packages)? If so, how much power is continuously available to the payload and how long can each balloon stay aloft?

BalloonsInVLEO|1 year ago

That info would strangely enough dox me/be a trade secret but there are companies doing both exempt and non exempt, and both have GSD better than any commercial satellite

scotty79|1 year ago

What's the longevity of such balloons? Don't they burst or leak?

BalloonsInVLEO|1 year ago

Right now they fly for months, but years is possible with the right design.

The can sometimes leak slightly but they make up for it by dispensing small amounts of ballast material.