[kekebo]

While partly debated, the first part sounds like a prime candidate for Dunning Kruger effect in (historic) action

[kristopolous]

Studying science history basically my entire adult life im pretty sure you'd have to go back many thousands of years for this to be true

[kekebo]

Such confidence ratings over unavailable/lost/missing data appear like a luxury to where I'm from (science wise). Does historical analysis come with heuristic privileges over other fields in that regard?