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gpsx | 1 year ago

I am of the view that the chance of life in a single universe is vanishingly small. Fortunately, there can be many, many universes, or many, many effective universes. I googled the number of stars in the universe and it said 10^23. I am admitteedly not sure exactly what all this entails, but that is a pretty small number. How many ways are there to arrange a deck of cards? 10^68. That means you would have to put 10^45 decks of cards in each star system just to get a good chance of finding another deck with the same order of cards as one you shuffle yourself. And life it a lot more complex than a deck of cards. The number of stars grows linearly with the volume of space. Probability shrinks much faster. I don't know what the actual probabilty of life evolving is, but I wouldn't expect it to be very easy. And I don't think there is any reason to think the universe we see is the only "try" there has been to create life.

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cdaringe|1 year ago

Comparing a physical count to permutation count doesn’t really compute me to. The only correlation that these two concepts have is the fact that they are numbers. One scalar’s magnitude has no bearing on the significance of another’s in an entirely different domain.