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GrumpyYoungMan | 1 year ago

The fabs propped up the corpse of Moore's Law by throwing mountains of cash at expanding transistors into the third dimension: finFET, GAA, CFET, etc. That has kept the party going a little while longer than it would have lasted but it's a one-time deal since are no more dimensions to expand into.

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brookst|1 year ago

…but that’s how it’s always worked. Moore’a law is dead, we’re at the limit of everything, oh hey, Moore’s lawn limps by again because someone did something clever.

light_hue_1|1 year ago

That's never how it worked. Moore's law was never dead. People are just endlessly confused about what Moore's law is.

What ended was Dennard scaling around 2006. Roughly that frequency would keep going up as feature size went down. But because so many people are confused about what is what, you see a crappy muddled message.

Moore's law has been going strong. It must end eventually, current predictions are that it will be in a decade or two.

ForOldHack|1 year ago

This is the kind of comment that will keep me laughing for weeks. Moore's lawn is in fact dead. We need to go back to calling what Moore said as his observational insight.

dehrmann|1 year ago

> into the third dimension

Does this actually work? At some point, and this is been the case for a while, you're limited by thermals. You can't stack more layers without adding more cooling.

eru|1 year ago

Moore's law doesn't say anything about you having to power all your transistors for them to count.

I'm only half-joking: the brain gets a lot of its energy efficiency out of most of its parts not working all that hard most of the time; and we are seeing some glimpses of that in mobile processors, too.

WXLCKNO|1 year ago

Depends, there could be 11 dimensions to expand into.

skissane|1 year ago

Assuming those extra dimensions really exist (it is unproven), I think we are centuries or even millennia away from being able to make technological use of them-if we ever will be at all

relaxing|1 year ago

Expand into the time dimension, evaluate infinite execution paths by reversing the pipeline, rerunning, and storing the results in a future accumulator.

acchow|1 year ago

> since are no more dimensions to expand into.

Quantum computing is next, right?

adastra22|1 year ago

That’s not how quantum computing works.