[ongytenes]

I think discoveries by AI would be due to pattern matching. Like finding overlooked cancer markers that can be used for an earlier prognosis. The genius of Einstein and his thought experiments may elude an AI. It may take an AI designed on some other future model other than an LLM to "compress a century"

He called it wishful thinking. I believe the hype over AI is due to attempts to justify the enormous investments going into AI development has created an echo chamber.

[seanhunter]

For one thing, how do we know that all discoveries are not pattern matching? In "The Act of Creation" for example, Arthur Koestler proposes the idea that all creativity is essentially the act of finding connections between diverse frames of reference and that extraordinary/genius-level creativity might just be that you can spot connections between even weirder and more diverse frames of reference than the regular creative person might be able to.

I am certain there is a self-reinforcing hype cycle around LLMs specifically at the moment, but AI progress is definitely gathering pace and starting to get to the point where it is impacting normal people to the extent that hasn't been seen since the dot com boom. So the people making investments are for sure stampeding to pour in capital so as not to miss out on the big winners from this change.