[anonymars]

Is there data in 2021 that would have led you to think Russia would attempt an outright invasion of Ukraine?

Is it really so outlandish to think that Russian irredentism[0] will continue?

Food for thought from 2014(!): https://youtu.be/HLAzeHnNgR8

[0]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Russian_irredentism

[relaxing]

People were claiming the Russian military buildup and troop massing did not mean they would invade right up until the day they did.

[ossobuco]

People claimed that Russians were stripping stolen washing machines for chips, that sanctions would have collapsed their economy, etc. Lots of people claim lots of things, sometime they are right.

[koakuma-chan]

They were just training, surely nothing to be concerned about.

[dragonwriter]

Most of those people were Russian propagandists, though.