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borgdefenser | 11 months ago

I can feel this already with my own use of language models.

All the questions I had before language models, I have answered with language models.

That doesn't mean I have no more questions though. Answering those questions opened up 10X more questions I have now.

In general, everyone knows that answering scientific questions leads to new and more questions. It is the exact same process in the economy. There is a collectivist sentiment though in society and the economy that wants to pretend this isn't true. That the economic questions can be "solved", the spoils divided up and we live happily ever after in some kind of equilibrium.

As far as new jobs, they are here now but they surely sound as ridiculous to think about as being a professional youtuber in 2005. Or I think of the person making a geocities website in 1997 vs a front end developer. There is no date that a front end developer emerges from the html code monkey. It is a slow and organic process that is hard to game.

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weatherlite|11 months ago

> As far as new jobs, they are here now but they surely sound as ridiculous to think about as being a professional youtuber in 2005

How many people can make an actual living out of Youtube? Surely they exist but to reliably live off it for decades (not just 1-2 years of temporary fame - which is also very hard to come by) I'd say fewer than one in ten thousand people will make it. I can't call "Youtuber" a career path with that kind of success rates anymore than I can call being an actor in Hollywood a career path.