[randomwalker]

Thanks for the comment! I agree — it's important to remain fluid. We've taken steps to make sure that predictively speaking, the normal technology worldview is empirically testable. Some of those empirical claims are in this paper and others in coming in follow-ups. We are committed to revising our thinking if it turns out that our framework doesn't generate good predictions and effective prescriptions.

We do try to admit it when we get things wrong. One example is our past view (that we have since repudiated) that worrying about superintelligence distracts from more immediate harms.