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vlan0 | 10 months ago

It's an interesting bar to set. And it shows how we're willing to bend that safety bar to allow seniors to drive on the roads despite their clear cognitive disadvantage.

Let's look at some raw data. Mind you, we have 100x more data for the human drivers below. ie, billions of miles vs millions for automated drivers.

Pop examined Fatal-crash rate All Level‑4 automated‑driving tests in the U.S. 1.5–1.7 per 100 M mi Drivers 70‑74 yr 1.7 per 100 M mi Drivers 75‑79 yr 2.1 per 100 M mi Drivers 80‑84 yr 4.3 per 100 M mi Drivers ≥ 85 yr 7.6 per 100 M mi

So statistically, you are much more likely to be killed by a senior citizen. So to make a consistent argument using data around safety, we should maybe be revoking the licenses of older folks?

edit: Jesus, 19% of all US fatal crashes in 2023 invloved seniors. While they make up 15% of the driver population.

discuss

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callc|10 months ago

Yes, it is reasonable to require older folks to pass a driving test that measures alertness, vision, etc. If no pass then take away license.

Heck I was in a parking lot yesterday and almost got hit by a truck, driver is a very old man.

In terms of safety of AVs and human drivers, AVs need to cause 10x less fatalities than humans do in order to be widely accepted by people. It’s an emotional thing.

Just like these humanoid robots we’re seeing companies develop. If we let them loose in society, would it be ok if they only committed murder 1% less than humans do?

People naturally hold the bar higher for robots and computers. It might be for the lack of accountability. I’m not sure of other reasons why this is

mikrotikker|10 months ago

I'd rather be driven by any human driver than a machine that has no empathy, can't be reasoned with, can't be bargained with, and is under control of a faceless corporation.

analog31|10 months ago

Likewise younger drivers, as indicated by insurance rates.

vlan0|10 months ago

You're not wrong. Data shows driver under 20 are involved in 4.8 fatal crashes per 100m miles.

Speed, alcohol, lower seat-belt use, and of course, inexperience are listed as the primary contributing factors.