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dejobaan | 10 months ago

That was a good read (and short, with a cool graph—I want to know who tagged "Almost No Chance" as 95% likely; a would-be Pratchett fan, perhaps). In biz, that's part of why I like to separate out goals ("we'll focus on growing traffic") and concrete objectives ("25% audience growth between now and June 1st").

discuss

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ModernMech|10 months ago

My feeling is it's a measure of the number of people who read the question wrong.

patrickmay|10 months ago

But is it EXACTLY a million to one chance?

ninalanyon|10 months ago

Sounds like a quote from pTerry's Guards! Guards!

Sergeant Colon adjusted his armor haughtily.

“When you really need them the most,” he said, “million-to-one chances always crop up. Well-known fact.”

forrestthewoods|10 months ago

I hate “one in a million” because its meaning depends on how many times you’re rolling the die!

I’ll never forgot old World of Warcraft discussions about crit probability. If a particular sequence is “one in a million” and there are 10 million players and each player encounters hundreds or thousands of sequences per day then “one in a million” is pretty effing common!