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10 months ago
Makes for a good underdog story! But OpenAI is dominating and will continue to do so. They have the je ne sais quoi. It’s therefore laborious to speak to it, but it manifests in self-reinforcing flywheels of talent, capital, aesthetic, popular consciousness, and so forth. But hey, Bing still makes Microsoft billions a year, so there will be other winners. Underestimating focused breakout leaders in new rapidly growing markets is as cliche as those breakouts ultimately succeeding, so even if we go into an AI winter it’s clear who comes out on top the other side. A product has never been adopted this quickly, ever. AGI or not, skepticism that merely points to conventional resource imbalances misses the big picture and such opinions age poorly. Doesn’t have to be obvious only in hindsight if you actually examine the current record of disruptive innovation.
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